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Trade FOMC Statement & Press Conference

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WORLD HEADLINES – Global equity and crude oil markets attempted on Wednesday to claw their way out of a three-day long plunge that saw investors seek out the safety of bonds amid mounting pessimism over world growth.

STOCKS – European shares rose 0.3 percent and MSCI’s global equity index firmed a touch, though it has fallen 6 percent since the start of this month, given the fragile nature of the Sino-U.S. tariff truce and signs that company earnings worldwide are slowing.

BONDS – Futures are sticking with a two-in-three chance of a rate rise on Wednesday, expectation is for the Fed to move twice in 2019. That’s a more hawkish call than the broader market which is pricing less than one rise in 2019, down from three not long back.

COMMODITIES – While Brent crude inched up 0.5 percent after plunging 6 percent overnight, its 35 percent fall since October is sending a dis-inflationary pulse through the world just as trade and economic activity are cooling.

CURRENCIES – The steep drop in Treasury yields undermined one of the U.S. dollar’s major props and pulled its index back 0.3 percent to 96.8 from a recent top of 97.711.

ECONOMIC DATA – CAD CPI m/m due at  8:30, BOJ  Monetary Policy Statement (tentative), FOMC Statement at 14:00, FOMC Press Conference at 14:30 ET.

 

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