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The Week Ahead in the Global Financial Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios

The Currency market paid attention to Germany’s negative yield for the 5 and 7 year bonds and the record low yield for the 10 year, sending the Euro lower and helping to push the US Dollar higher.  Yields from most of the other Eurozone members are also at record lows. It appears to be driven by the expectation of the ECB’s sovereign bond purchase program.  For more details on the purchase program click on the following link:

Last Tuesday we highlighted the currency market with a special training titled EURO-MANIA How The Forex Market Really Work along with the launch of our new FX Flows indicator. Looking back our timing was spot on as the new indicator identified FX Flows early Thursday morning, just in time for the steep drop in foreign currencies, led by the Euro. In the week ahead I will continue to focus on the correlations between the currency and bond market for trading opportunities. I will be using our suite of dynamic sentiment indicators including Risk On/Off, Carry Trade On/Off and the FX Flows to help me identify when the big players are taking direction. I am also expecting trading opportunities in other markets, especially the ones that are exhibiting box-range pattern formation. While Crude Oil continues to consolidate inside the box, Copper is in the early stages of establishing a new one.

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Joe Rios

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4:30 AM               GBP       Manufacturing PMI

5:00 AM               EUR        CPI Flash Estimate

10:00 AM             USD       ISM Manufacturing PMI

7:30 PM                AUD       Building Approvals

10:30 PM             AUD       Cash Rate and RBA Rate Statement



3:00 AM               EUR        Spanish Unemployment Change

4:30 AM               GBP       Construction PMI

5:00 AM               GBP       BOE Gov Carney Speaks

8:30 AM               CAD       GDP

Tentative             NZD       GDT Price Index

7:30 PM                AUD       GDP

8:15 PM                USD       Fed Chair Yellen Speaks



4:30 AM               GBP       Services PMI

8:15 AM               USD       ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

10:00 AM             CAD       BOC Rate Statement and Overnight Rate

USD       ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

7:30 PM                AUD       Retail Sales and Trade Balance



7:00 AM               GBP       Official Bank Rate

Tentative             GBP       MPC Rate Statement

7:45 AM               EUR        Minimum Bid Rate

8:30 AM               EUR        ECB Press Conference

USD       Unemployment Claims

10:00 AM             CAD       Ivey PMI



8:30 AM               CAD       Building Permits and Trade Balance

USD       Non-Farm Employment Change

USD       Trade Balance

USD       Unemployment Rate