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The Week Ahead in the Global Financial Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios

Friday’s strong US employment report sent the broad markets in a frenzy with the Volatility Index (VIX) spiking 5.7%.  Most markets turned red led by Gold -2.3%, US 30 Yr Bond -2.0%, Crude Oil -1.9%, the Euro -1.6% and the Dow Jones -1.4%. The beneficiary was the US Dollar which rose 1.4%. Good news is bad news is how investors reacted from the stronger than expected report, seen as a gauge for the Federal Reserve’s timing in raising interest rates. In contrast, the European Central Bank’s expected launch of its new bond buying program set to begin Monday March 8th helped to ignite rotation flows to the US Dollar. As mentioned in a recent writing in The Week Ahead, the divergence in the stock markets between Japan and Europe versus the US has continued.  European bourses lead the way gaining 10.2%, Japan 9.5% and the US only 0.9%, all in local currencies. I will keep an eye on these markets and their relationship in the week ahead.

We have a light economic calendar, therefore it will be prudent to pay close attention to the market’s message using market dynamics, especially if correlations continue to tighten.  For that reason I will focus on rotation flows with a strong emphasis on the currency market. The Euro dropped -6.6% in January followed by consolidation in February to drop again -3.1%  in the first week of March. The price action was a classic box pattern, which we have been covering in detail during our recent instructional training workshops. I will continue to search for this type of tactical set ups, they usually prove to be prudent when volatility spikes followed by a lack of economic data.

Don’t miss this week’s workshop classROTATION FLOWS: How to profit from it NOW. Register early, the last few workshops reached maximum attendance capacity and some were denied access, register here.

Joe Rios


 

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The RQ Workshop Training – ROTATION FLOWS: How to profit from it in the week ahead.

Tuesday – Starting at 8:00 pm and ending at 9:00 pm ET.

Last week’s aggressive rotation flows from the Bond, Stock and Foreign Currency markets into the US dollar left many day traders puzzled. Correlations within the global markets is a topic very much misunderstood by active traders. If you can’t be sure of which direction the market is going then you’re simply trading blind. Learn how to apply a simple three-step approach to uncovering the market’s true dynamics which can lead to selecting the optimal markets set for powerful price direction.

The Insider’s Quant Room – Advance training with Joe Rios.
11:00 AM and ends at 12:30 AM ET.
Monday – What’s Next in The Week Ahead 
Forecasting, Planning and Developing Themes
*Wednesday – How the Forex Market Really Works
Friday –  Insider’s Round Table  
What’s Hot and What’s Working Now, Week’s Review and Insider’s Discussion Meetup
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Monday

All Day         EUR   Euro Group Meetings

8:30 PM      AUD   NAB Business Confidence

9:30 PM      CNY   CPI

 

Tuesday

10:35 AM    GBP   BOE Gov. Carney Speaks

 

Wednesday

1:30 AM      CNY   Industrial Production

10:30 AM              Crude Oil Inventories

4:00 PM      NZD   RBNZ Rate Statement

8:10 PM      NZD   RBNZ Gov. Wheeler Speaks

8:30 PM      AUD   Employment Change

 

Thursday

8:30 AM      USD   Retail Sales And Unemployment Claims

8:45 AM      GBP   BOE Gov. Carney Speaks

10:30 AM              Natural Gas Storage

 

Friday

8:30 AM      USD   PPI

8:30 AM      CAD   Employment Change

10:00 AM    USD   Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment

THERE IS A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE PRODUCTS. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.