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The Week Ahead in the Global Financial Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios

The bond market stole center stage last week driven by another spike in the German bund yield. US treasuries also sold-off but managed to recover by the end of the trading week. Analysts have been blaming the recent volatility in the global bond market to lack of liquidity, risk management strategies employed by large fund managers and technical in scope.


” But the main driving factor driving yields up is more technical than fundamental, and is in a strange way the result of central banks’ success in pushing yields down. Those efforts have led investors and traders to take on bigger positions, according to strategists at J.P. Morgan.” – WSJ


In the commodity market Silver gained 6.44%, Wheat climbed 6.07%, Natural Gas rallied 4.76% and Gold closed the week 2.87% higher. In the currency market the US Dollar continued to fall -1.68% pushing the Euro 2.15% higher, followed by the British Pound 1.76%.  The fundamental case for a strong dollar was viewed on the difference in monetary policy but technically, it remains vulnerable to further downside price action. The US Dollar gained 27.5% between May 2014 and March 2015, a very strong move in only 11 months. Even though the recent drop has been sudden, it’s only a -7.4% move.


In the week ahead I will continue to focus on the technicals and be selective in the markets most poised for aggressive price action. Correlations should also play an important role in market selection. Will correlations continue to be mixed and loose or will they tighten and revert back to the previous “norm”? Join us this week in our live trading room and watch how we use intermarket relationships to uncover trading opportunities.

– Joe Rios

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RQ Workshop Training – How to Trade Currencies NOW!

Tuesday – May 19th  8:00 – 9:00 pm ET



Join the RiosQuant traders and coaches as they outline how to trade foreign currencies in the week ahead. Recent price action has resulted in favorable risk to reward trade set ups and prices are at a key level in a few select currencies. Learn the secret to currency selection, don’t miss this special and relevant training session.


2:00 AM   USD        FOMC Member Evans Speaks

9:30 PM   AUD        Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

11:00 PMNZD        Inflation Expectations



4:30 AM   GBP        CPI

5:00 AM   EUR        German ZEW Economic Sentiment

8:30 AM   USD        Building Permits

11:45 AMCAD        BOC Gov. Poloz Speaks

7:50 PM   JPY         Preliminary GDP



4:30 AM   GBP        Official Bank Rate Votes

8:30 AM   CAD        Wholesale Sales

10:30 AMCL           Crude Oil Inventories

2:00 PM   USD        FOMC Meeting Minutes

9:45 PM   CNY        HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI



3:00 AM   EUR        French Flash Manufacturing PMI

3:30 AM   EUR        German Flash Manufacturing PMI

8:30 AM   USD        Unemployment Claims

9:45 AM   USD        Flash Manufacturing PMI

10:00 AMUSD        Philly Fed Manufacturing Index And Existing Home Sales

10:30 AMNG          Natural Gas Storage

1:30 PM   EUR        ECB Draghi Speaks

1:30 PM   USD        FOMC Member Fischer Speaks

Tentative                JPY         Monetary Policy Statement



Tentative                JPY         BOJ Press Conference

4:00 AM   EUR        German Ifo Business Climate

7:00 AM   GBP        Gov. Carney Speaks

8:30 AM   CAD        core CPI and retail sales

8:30 AM   USD        core CPI

9:30 AM   EUR        ECB president Draghi speaks

9:30 AM   GBP        Gov. Carney speaks

9:30 AM   JPY         Gov. Kuroda speaks