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The Week Ahead in the Global Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios

The US Dollar rally continued to impress, pushing the Euro to a new 22 month low and sending the commodity currencies dramatically lower including the Aussie, Kiwi and Canadian dollars. The Japanese Yen managed to consolidate for most of the week but finished at a key support level. Will further US Dollar strength help drive the Yen lower? Or will another sell-off in the stock indices trigger Yen short covering? The S&P 500 and US Ten Year Note tested key levels of support and resistance but failed with any significant follow through. Will the benchmarks make another attempt in the week ahead? Will the US Ten Year Note continue to lead the broad markets? In the week ahead I will continue to focus on the bond market but will also be paying attention to the energy market. Take special note of the consolidation patterns in Crude Oil and Natural Gas, will they breakout this week? Noteworthy will also be the oversold and overbought markets, will profit taking begin, providing trading opportunities? I am expecting an exciting week in the markets with potential of volatility, possibly being triggered by a busy economic calendar while the key markets are resting at key technical levels.

ten yr note futures

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MONDAY

USD – Personal Spending – 8:30 AM ET

USD – Pending Home Sales – 10:00 AM ET

NZD – ANZ Business Confidence – 8:00 PM ET

CNY – HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI – 9:45 PM ET

TUESDAY

GBP – Current-Account – 4:30 AM ET

EUR – CPI Flash Estimate – 5:00 AM ET

CAD – GDP –  8:30 AM ET

USD – Chicago PMI –  9:45 AM ET

USD – CB Consumer Confidence – 10:00 AM ET

CNY – Manufacturing PMI –  9:00 PM ET

AUD – Retail Sales –  9:30 PM ET

WEDNESDAY

GBP – Manufacturing PMI – 4:30 AM ET

USD – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change – 8:15 AM ET

USD – ISM Manufacturing PMI – 10:00 AM ET

USD – Crude Oil Inventories – 10:30 AM ET

AUD – Building Approvals And Trade Balance – 9:30 PM ET

THURSDAY

GBP – Construction PMI – 4:30 AM ET

EUR – Minimum Bid Rate – 7:45 AM ET

USD – Unemployment Claims – 8:30 AM ET

EUR – ECB Press Conference – 8:30 AM ET

USD – Natural Gas Storage – 10:30 AM ET

FRIDAY

GBP – Services PMI – 4:30 AM ET

USD – Nonfarm Employment Change – 8:30 AM ET

CAD – Trade Balance – 8:30 AM ET

USD – ISM Non manufacturing PMI   – 10:00 AM ET