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The Week Ahead in the Markets

From the desk of Joe Rios…

The stock indices continued to impress after an event filled 3 1/2 day trading week. The employment report was strong with a net job gain of 288k and a decline in the unemployment rate to 6.1%. The US 10 year note closed the week lower pushing the yield  towards 2.70%, the highest level since late April.

The rise in the US 10 year note yield helped drive the US dollar index higher. The sell-off in the Japanese Yen came to no surprise to our quant traders. The correlation between a rising US dollar and US stock indices continues to have a negative impact on the yen. The British pound, Canadian dollar and US dollar were the out performers in the currency market.  In the commodity market Grains continued to slide lower led by Corn -7.4%, Soybeans -5.7% and Wheat -2.4%.  The outperformer was Copper, rising 4.0%.

In the week ahead I will continue to focus on the correlations, specifically between the stock  indices, Japanese Yen, US 10 year note and the US dollar. Crude oil closed the week lower sitting at a key support level from an uptrend, look for potential aggressive price action and volatility.

Joe Rios


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8:30 AM               CAD       Building Permits

10:00 AM             CAD       Ivey PMI

6:00 PM                NZD       NZIER Business Confidence

9:30 PM                AUD       NAB Business Confidence



4:30 AM               GBP       Manufacturing Production

10:00 AM             USD       JOLTS Job Openings

9:30 PM                CNY        CPI And PPI



10:30 AM             Crude Oil Inventories

2:00 PM                USD       FOMC Meeting Minutes

2:01 PM                USD       10 Year Bond Auction

9:30 PM                AUD       Employment Change



Tentative             CNY        Trade Balance

4:30 AM               GBP       Trade Balance

7:00 AM               GBP       Official Bank Rate

8:30 AM               USD       Unemployment Claims

8:30 AM               Grains   Weekly Export Sales

10:30 AM             USD       Natural Gas Storage



8:30 AM               CAD       Employment Change

12:00 PM             Grains   Crop Production

12:15 PM             Grains   Will Markets And Trade

12:15 PM             Grains   World Agricultural Production